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Analyses

Field intelligence and operational assessments.

▸Sahel HC Free access Restricted

Senegal — Defence and Security Cooperation: The Post-French Window

France's departure and a no-foreign-bases doctrine open a structural window for capacity-building partners in Senegal — and, under strict conditions, across the AES border.

  • #defence cooperation
  • #maritime security
  • #European Peace Facility
  • #border security
▸Sahel HC Free access

Senegal — Petroleum Sector Risk Analysis, June 2026

NIE-format assessment of the political, security, ESG and economic risks in Senegal's oil and gas sector, with fifteen annotated key judgements.

  • #Sangomar
  • #GTA
  • #Petrosen
  • #resource nationalism
▸Sahel MC Free access Restricted

Mali — Geopolitical Perspective and Forecast

Multi-actor reading of the 25 April offensive: regional interest convergence and trajectories to 2030.

  • #Morocco
  • #Algeria
  • #Western Sahara
  • #Atlantic corridor
▸Sahel HC Free access

Mali — Security Situation Note, May 2026

Eight-axis security brief following the 25 April 2026 offensive. Threat level critical; no zone of the territory can be considered secure.

  • #JNIM
  • #Bamako blockade
  • #overland movement
  • #airport security
▸Gulf of Guinea MC Free access

Nigeria — Risk Assessment: Lagos and Abuja

Five-axis assessment for a short business trip, with a counter-intuitive finding on terrorist risk.

  • #crime
  • #kidnapping
  • #corruption
  • #Boko Haram
▸Central Africa HC Free access

Chad — Risk Assessment: N'Djamena and Adré

Seven-axis assessment for a short business trip, sharply differentiating between the capital and the Sudanese border zone.

  • #RSF
  • #Sudan
  • #Boko Haram
  • #refugees
▸Central Africa MC Free access

Cameroon — Risk Assessment: Yaoundé, Obala, Dschang

Five-axis assessment for a short stay in the Centre and West regions, with a documented divergence from international advisories.

  • #urban crime
  • #administrative corruption
  • #Biya succession
  • #Ambazonia