About

Pierre has spent more than twenty years where security, politics and business meet — across Sub-Saharan Africa, Europe and the Middle East. He has built and led advisory and intelligence practices in West Africa, worked with governments, institutions and private operators, and advised senior decision-makers on questions where a wrong reading carries a real cost.

His career began in international broadcasting and media strategy, before moving to West Africa, where he founded strategy and communication ventures and then an operational intelligence and strategic advisory practice that he ran for more than a decade. That path shaped a particular way of working: reading narratives as carefully as facts, and treating influence operations as a security problem in their own right.

The work has ranged from contributions to sensitive diplomatic processes and national-level political strategy to market entry for multinational companies in difficult environments and the development of energy and extractives projects. He trained in law and criminal sciences, and in media production and strategy. Today he works fully independently, based between Dakar and Yaoundé.

The analysis is field-anchored. Assessments combine human sources, open-source corroboration and direct regional presence — not desk aggregation of press coverage.

Analytical method

• Key judgements first. Numbered, each carrying an explicit confidence level — HC, MC, LC — following NIE conventions.
• Gaps are stated. What is not known is flagged as GA and set out as explicitly as what is.
• Sources are graded. Independence, field access and reliability history are weighed before any source carries a judgement.
• Convergence is distinguished from causality. Who benefits from an event is a question, not an accusation.
• Scenarios carry activation conditions and early-warning indicators, so a reader can tell which one is unfolding.

Coverage

• Sahel — Mali, Niger, Burkina Faso, Chad, and the AES as a confederal actor.
• Atlantic coast — Senegal, Mauritania, The Gambia, Guinea and the Dakar regional hub.
• Gulf of Guinea — Nigeria, coastal spillover, extractives and corridor security.
• Central Africa — Cameroon and Chad.
• Information warfare — foreign influence and disinformation operations in Sub-Saharan Africa.
• Maghreb and Middle East — where they bear on Sahelo-Atlantic dynamics.

Formats

• Situation Note — a short brief across numbered thematic axes, for fast decisions.
• Strategic Intelligence Assessment — a full NIE-format estimate with key judgements, gaps and scenarios.
• Risk Analysis Report — an executive-committee document mapping political, security, economic and ESG risk.
• Operational risk assessment — city-by-city and route-by-route, for people moving on the ground.

Confidentiality

Commissioned work stays with those who commissioned it. Analyses published here are written or reworked for open reading: mandates, clients and their projects are never named, and nothing published is meant to allow them to be inferred.

Working languages

French and Romanian (native), English (C2), German, and Zarma.