Nigeria — Risk Assessment: Lagos and Abuja
Five-axis assessment for a short business trip, with a counter-intuitive finding on terrorist risk.
MC
Analytical confidence level
Moderate confidence
Assessed from indicators; not fully confirmed.
Public abstract
Free accessA focused assessment of Lagos, Abuja and the links between them. The headline finding runs against common perception: the jihadist threat is confined to the north-east, 700–1,500 km from the target areas, and is not the dominant exposure factor. Violent crime is.
- Terrorist risk assessed low at Lagos, low to moderate at Abuja.
- Violent crime — kidnapping, armed robbery, carjacking — constitutes the principal structural risk.
- Endemic administrative corruption: centralised legal channels recommended.
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