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▸Sahel MC

Russian Disinformation in Sub-Saharan Africa — Analytical Note

Influence doctrine, operational apparatus and countermeasures: a mid-2026 map of Russia's informational and politico-security grip on the continent.

MC

Analytical confidence level

Moderate confidence

Assessed from indicators; not fully confirmed.

Public abstract

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Analytical note on the mechanisms, narratives and geography of Russian information operations in Sub-Saharan Africa — from the Soviet legacy to the post-Prigozhin apparatus — with an updated country map, a countermeasures framework and scenarios to 2028.

  • Grip assessed country by country, distinguishing informational reach from military presence.
  • Mali: the largest Sahel deployment, but a model under strain.
  • Recurring narrative themes, including the recent shift toward health-related distrust.

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